{"id":18200,"date":"2010-11-01T22:41:56","date_gmt":"2010-11-02T02:41:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/fryeblog.blog.lib.mcmaster.ca\/?p=18200"},"modified":"2010-11-01T22:41:56","modified_gmt":"2010-11-02T02:41:56","slug":"quote-of-the-day-oy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/2010\/11\/01\/quote-of-the-day-oy\/","title":{"rendered":"Quote of the Day: Oy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2010\/11\/house-current-map.gif\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-18201\" src=\"http:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2010\/11\/house-current-map.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"415\" height=\"307\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>&#8220;House Forecast: G.O.P. Plus 54-55 Seats; Significantly Larger or Smaller Gains Possible&#8221;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s the headline today at Nate Silver&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com\/2010\/11\/01\/house-forecast-g-o-p-plus-54-55-seats-significantly-larger-or-smaller-gains-possible\/\" target=\"_blank\">FiveThirtyEight.com<\/a>.\u00a0 I really don&#8217;t want to make fun of Nate (&#8220;significantly larger or smaller gains possible&#8221;) &#8212; he&#8217;s an excellent, non-partisan and uncannily accurate pollster &#8212; but that&#8217;s really covering your bets.\u00a0\u00a0 The conventional wisdom is the Republicans will take the House, but by how much or how little no one can tell.\u00a0 The numbers are crazy and the outliers are really out there (Gallup today shows the Republicans ahead by an unbelievable <em>15% <\/em>on a generic ballot, something they&#8217;ve never achieved before in the history of polling).\u00a0 And, of course, a lot of people predicting a sure-thing Republican win are hastening to add that so many races are too close to call and that the Democrats might do much better than expected.<\/p>\n<p>The best of the hedging also comes from<a href=\"http:\/\/fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com\/2010\/11\/01\/5-reasons-democrats-could-beat-the-polls-and-hold-the-house\/\" target=\"_blank\"> further polling<\/a> data Silver posted today under the headline, <strong>&#8220;Five Reasons Democrats Could Beat the Polls and Hold the House&#8221;.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s from the same guy on the same day.<\/p>\n<p>Take your pick.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;House Forecast: G.O.P. Plus 54-55 Seats; Significantly Larger or Smaller Gains Possible&#8221; That&#8217;s the headline today at Nate Silver&#8217;s FiveThirtyEight.com.\u00a0 I really don&#8217;t want to make fun of Nate (&#8220;significantly larger or smaller gains possible&#8221;) &#8212; he&#8217;s an excellent, non-partisan and uncannily accurate pollster &#8212; but that&#8217;s really covering your bets.\u00a0\u00a0 The conventional wisdom is [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[129],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18200","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-quote-of-the-day"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Quote of the Day: Oy - The Educated Imagination<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/2010\/11\/01\/quote-of-the-day-oy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Quote of the Day: Oy - The Educated Imagination\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&#8220;House Forecast: G.O.P. Plus 54-55 Seats; Significantly Larger or Smaller Gains Possible&#8221; That&#8217;s the headline today at Nate Silver&#8217;s FiveThirtyEight.com.\u00a0 I really don&#8217;t want to make fun of Nate (&#8220;significantly larger or smaller gains possible&#8221;) &#8212; he&#8217;s an excellent, non-partisan and uncannily accurate pollster &#8212; but that&#8217;s really covering your bets.\u00a0\u00a0 The conventional wisdom is [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/2010\/11\/01\/quote-of-the-day-oy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Educated Imagination\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2010-11-02T02:41:56+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2010\/11\/house-current-map.gif\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"691\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"511\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/gif\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Michael Happy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Michael Happy\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/2010\/11\/01\/quote-of-the-day-oy\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/2010\/11\/01\/quote-of-the-day-oy\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Michael Happy\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/#\/schema\/person\/666be62a4e8014df67296baeeaf4db95\"},\"headline\":\"Quote of the Day: Oy\",\"datePublished\":\"2010-11-02T02:41:56+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/2010\/11\/01\/quote-of-the-day-oy\/\"},\"wordCount\":196,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/2010\/11\/01\/quote-of-the-day-oy\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2010\/11\/house-current-map.gif\",\"articleSection\":[\"Quote of the Day\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/2010\/11\/01\/quote-of-the-day-oy\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/2010\/11\/01\/quote-of-the-day-oy\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/macblog.mcmaster.ca\/fryeblog\/2010\/11\/01\/quote-of-the-day-oy\/\",\"name\":\"Quote of the Day: Oy - 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